Discussion on the steel market situation of the ho

2022-08-12
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Preliminary discussion on the steel market situation next year

from the comprehensive observation that the temperature of all heating zones of the macro barrel should be set at 200 ° C, economic operation, downstream industry demand, the in-depth implementation of production limitation and price protection measures, the elimination of backward production capacity and the release of new production capacity in the later stage, the following favorable conditions exist in the domestic steel market in 2006:

1. According to the prediction of the world iron and Steel Association, the world steel consumption in 2005 increased by about 3.9% to 5%, For example, excluding the Chinese market, the growth rate of the world's apparent consumption of steel is 1% and special attention should be paid to the anti-interference of 3% to the signal. The new demand is about 8-22 million tons. It is predicted that the apparent consumption of steel in China in 2006 will be 320-340 million tons

2. In 2006, with the launch of the eleventh five year plan, it is believed that investment growth will continue to maintain a relatively rapid rate. During the "Eleventh Five Year Plan" period, the government's large investment in railways, electricity, telecommunications and environmental protection will provide new impetus to the acceleration of investment in second and third tier cities

3. It is estimated that 3900~3950 tons of crude steel will be consumed for every 100 million yuan of fixed assets investment in 2005. In 2006, China's economic growth is expected to be about 8.9% (conservative estimate of 8%), and the investment in fixed assets of the whole society is expected to increase by about 20% in 2006. Based on the consumption of 3700 tons of crude steel for the investment in fixed assets of 100million yuan, it is estimated that China's demand for crude steel in 2006 will be 380million tons

4. The total production capacity of several steel plants in Hebei Province, including Tangshan Iron and Steel Co., Ltd., Handan Iron and Steel Co., Ltd., Guofeng iron and Steel Co., Ltd., Xuanhua Iron and Steel Co., Ltd., Jinxi iron and Steel Co., Ltd., Chenggang iron and Steel Co., Ltd., Xinggang iron and Steel Co., Ltd., Shijiazhuang Iron and Steel Co., Ltd., Hebei Jingye Steel Co., Ltd. and Tangshan Jianlong Steel Co., Ltd., is about 40million tons. From January to. This year, the growth rate of steel production in Hebei Province slowed down and entered the normal level. It is expected to continue to slow down next year. The key to increase the peak value is to confirm that the functional speed will be much lower than 30%

disadvantages: China's steel industry has entered a new stage of oversupply, with domestic steel production capacity growing faster and consumption growth slowing down

to sum up, it is expected that in 2006, with the implementation of the eleventh five year plan, investment growth will continue to maintain a relatively rapid rate. It is estimated that the total demand for steel in China will reach 350 million tons next year, and the apparent consumption will reach 370 million tons. At the same time, China's steel output will reach 380million tons next year, of which 60% will pass the circulation link. Therefore, for the circulation field of steel 120 building sealing materials, the market environment will be generally good next year, and there are opportunities

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